I was watching daily Politics today Kimota and they were talking about the most reliable polls and the one last week putting the Yes campaign ahead was apparently conducted differently. Although none were sure how this was going to pan out as they have nothing to compare it with. 
Got this in my email today:
Survation for the Daily Record release their final poll on the Scottish independence referendum. Fieldwork was conducted 16-17th September by telephone.
Headline voting intention (with change in brackets since our last comparable poll on 13 September):
Yes - 43%
No - 48%
Don't know - 9%
Excluding Don't knows:
Yes - 47%
No - 53%
A Note on Methodology
This poll was conducted by telephone and is therefore comparable to our last telephone poll on 13 September and should not be compared to any polls conducted online.
This poll was conducted by telephone using a systematic random sample of mobiles and landlines, ordered by key strata to reflect the eligible Scottish population. These strata were: age, sex, local authority, income and employment status.
Though the poll managed to reach 1266 respondents, it has an effective sample size of 1089. This is due to the sampling strategy employed, which aimed to mitigate some of the biases associated with contacting respondents via landlines. After interviewing a first person via landline, households with multiple eligible occupants were asked for a second response within the household. A Kish Grid was used to assign the eligible participant at random. These double household responses were accounted for in the weighting strategy by applying a factor of 0.5 to both respondentsâ weights.
Mobile respondents were not asked for a second response. For first household respondents and mobile respondents, only those originally drawn into the sample were invited to to take part in the survey. Other answerers were not interviewed.
As I've said before, polls mean nowt. It's hard votes on the ground that count 
As I've said before, polls mean nowt. It's hard votes on the ground that count
Political polls are usually accurate, not sure this one will be because they have no comparable's 
As I've said before, polls mean nowt. It's hard votes on the ground that count
Political polls are usually accurate, not sure this one will be because they have no comparable's
I don't even think political polls are 
But yes, you're right, this is a 'one off'
I don't even think political polls are
But yes, you're right, this is a 'one off'
well the experts today would differ 
I am very nervous and fearful of the 1st time voters and the voters getting caught up in the divide and not understanding or caring what they are voting for .... just want to be a piece of history and vote yes without thought because of this
my gut feeling and I hope I am right is it will be a NO but I also think it could be very close 
I am very nervous and fearful of the 1st time voters and the voters getting caught up in the divide and not understanding or caring what they are voting for .... just want to be a piece of history and vote yes without thought because of this
my gut feeling and I hope I am right is it will be a NO but I also think it could be very close
I am very nervous and fearful of the 1st time voters and the voters getting caught up in the divide and not understanding or caring what they are voting for .... just want to be a piece of history and vote yes without thought because of this
my gut feeling and I hope I am right is it will be a NO but I also think it could be very close
I said that the other night, I'm frightened peeps won't vote with their heads....and I haven't even got a vote
It will certainly be very close. Sadly there is going to be a lot of resentment from whichever side loses. This isn't a general election where, even if you don't like the result, there is hope of a reversal some time in the future.
It will certainly be very close. Sadly there is going to be a lot of resentment from whichever side loses. This isn't a general election where, even if you don't like the result, there is hope of a reversal some time in the future.
Yep, it has repercussions for both sides of the border...
I am very nervous and fearful of the 1st time voters and the voters getting caught up in the divide and not understanding or caring what they are voting for .... just want to be a piece of history and vote yes without thought because of this
my gut feeling and I hope I am right is it will be a NO but I also think it could be very close
This. I mentioned yesterday - my niece, on FB... has posted loads of pro-indy links - under one (a statement about currency etc) she said 'LOL - I don't understand what he's saying.. translation please xxxxxxxx' and named some friend who promptly told her what to think. She has no grasp of the issues, on 10th Sept she was undecided, didn't understand "half the words they say" (read this text peppered with 'like' and 'LOL' and 'ah ken..') and she was immediately pounced on by loads of Yes voters telling her what to think. She's not the sharpest knife in the drawer.. and within two days, she's a flippin' cybernat! That's the sort of vote I fear will give us the worst outcome.
Microsoft have called it for the "No"s, so that's that, then...
They've been beta-testing their prediction engine "Bing Predicts" during the referendum. To see the results, you have to submit "Scotland Referendum" to the Bing search engine:
http://www.bing.com/search?q=S...rendum&mkt=en-gb
You can see the methodology used at http://blogs.bing.com/uk/2014/...ferendum-in-uk-test/
I am very nervous and fearful of the 1st time voters and the voters getting caught up in the divide and not understanding or caring what they are voting for .... just want to be a piece of history and vote yes without thought because of this
my gut feeling and I hope I am right is it will be a NO but I also think it could be very close
This. I mentioned yesterday - my niece, on FB... has posted loads of pro-indy links - under one (a statement about currency etc) she said 'LOL - I don't understand what he's saying.. translation please xxxxxxxx' and named some friend who promptly told her what to think. She has no grasp of the issues, on 10th Sept she was undecided, didn't understand "half the words they say" (read this text peppered with 'like' and 'LOL' and 'ah ken..') and she was immediately pounced on by loads of Yes voters telling her what to think. She's not the sharpest knife in the drawer.. and within two days, she's a flippin' cybernat! That's the sort of vote I fear will give us the worst outcome.
That's what worries me. Great ploy by the 'Almighty' to include youngsters in the vote.
Daily Record poll is standing at 53% no 47% yes.
Commiserations Carport.
But I bet your Dad would actually have enjoyed the current nonsense if you're anyone to go by. 
Can I just say, I predicted 2 years ago that Scotland would vote YES for independence, when it looked a certainty that the NO's would have it won.
My Gran (who is 3/4ths Scottish) doesn't agree with me tho. lol
And hopefully you'll be wrong again
18 months to sort it all out , is ludicrous, so much of what would happen is in the unknown box.
If they do manage it in 18 months, it's going to be a bodge job and the UK gov. of the time will not be able to achieve anything at all, because everything will change 10 months down the line.
Madness.
I just wish it was anyone but the two fishes: neither seem particularly bright or likeable, but both, no doubt will appeal to some. Saddest day in UK history in my lifetime
Well said, that lass!
She's lovely 
Scotland must vote NO, we can't lose her from the UK. 
Can I just say, I predicted 2 years ago that Scotland would vote YES for independence, when it looked a certainty that the NO's would have it won.
My Gran (who is 3/4ths Scottish) doesn't agree with me tho. lol
And hopefully you'll be wrong again
And when have I ever been wrong (don't answer) ? 
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
I am!
I am hoping with all my heart that we stay together and will be putting my cross in the NO box.
Thanks to lovely FMs on here for your support, and for holding my hand when it was all getting too much to bear.
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
me too. I'm having my toast then I'm off to vote before work. I've got to go 'home' to the polling station - moved too close the polling date to change my address... which is a bummer because I'm looking across the road at the local polling station as I type!
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
I am!
I am hoping with all my heart that we stay together and will be putting my cross in the NO box.
Thanks to lovely FMs on here for your support, and for holding my hand when it was all getting too much to bear.
^^ What Yogi said! Let's go do it, Yogi!
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
I am!
I am hoping with all my heart that we stay together and will be putting my cross in the NO box.
Thanks to lovely FMs on here for your support, and for holding my hand when it was all getting too much to bear.
^^ What Yogi said! Let's go do it, Yogi!
I've been out and cast my vote.
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
I second what Jackson said
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
I am!
I am hoping with all my heart that we stay together and will be putting my cross in the NO box.
Thanks to lovely FMs on here for your support, and for holding my hand when it was all getting too much to bear.
^^ What Yogi said! Let's go do it, Yogi!
I've been out and cast my vote.
me too... did you do what I did and almost break the tip off the pencil with the force I marked that big X in the'no' box?
some lovely posts this morning
well done to you early morning voters
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
I am!
I am hoping with all my heart that we stay together and will be putting my cross in the NO box.
Thanks to lovely FMs on here for your support, and for holding my hand when it was all getting too much to bear.
^^ What Yogi said! Let's go do it, Yogi!
I've been out and cast my vote.
me too... did you do what I did and almost break the tip off the pencil with the force I marked that big X in the'no' box?
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
I am!
I am hoping with all my heart that we stay together and will be putting my cross in the NO box.
Thanks to lovely FMs on here for your support, and for holding my hand when it was all getting too much to bear.
^^ What Yogi said! Let's go do it, Yogi!
I've been out and cast my vote.
me too... did you do what I did and almost break the tip off the pencil with the force I marked that big X in the'no' box?
More or less. There will be no dubiety about my vote.
latest betting...hope it stays like this and the bookies are right if you click on the attachment you will see the yes vote is drifting and the no vote closing in the betting
Hope all you Scots are up and eager to cast your vote.
I personally hope we stay together, but I wish you all well and hope we are still compatriots in the morning.
I second what Jackson said
Just popped in to say I third that and I hope that this time tomorrow we are still a United Kingdom ...in every sense of the word
latest betting...hope it stays like this and the bookies are right if you click on the attachment you will see the yes vote is drifting and the no vote closing in the betting
Meant to post this yesterday:
Incredibly, Betfair have already paid out on "No" bets!
They decided earlier in the week that a "No" result was most likely. The payouts are only for their sportsbook operation though - not online.
odds shortening for a No vote, Yes vote drifting again since betting opened
latest betting...hope it stays like this and the bookies are right if you click on the attachment you will see the yes vote is drifting and the no vote closing in the betting
Meant to post this yesterday:
Incredibly, Betfair have already paid out on "No" bets!
They decided earlier in the week that a "No" result was most likely. The payouts are only for their sportsbook operation though - not online.
yes they paid out two days ago Eugene, strange but true
Feedback from the polling station I am about to cover, queuing up this morning to vote ,turn out so far 18%...stay positive ...I am
North Lanarkshire result due in about 3am .
Feedback from the polling station I am about to cover, queuing up this morning to vote ,turn out so far 18%...stay positive ...I am
North Lanarkshire result due in about 3am .
Hi Erin, wondered where you were
Big day for Scotland. Thanks for the update
Feedback from the polling station I am about to cover, queuing up this morning to vote ,turn out so far 18%...stay positive ...I am
North Lanarkshire result due in about 3am .
chin up, we're all behind the No vote
