Forget about Lisa - she's safe now!! - Do you want Bea out?

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SpiderMonkey

Lisa's odds are lengthening nicely. The bookies seem to think she is safe now. Hira has just inched ahead of Bea as the new favourite to go tomorrow.

If you want Bea out, or if you want Hira to stay in, you MUST vote to save Hira before it's too late.

Replies sorted oldest to newest

Former Member

will do .I did take the pledge but I so want Bea gone

8/6/093:25 PM

SpiderMonkeyMember

quote:
Originally posted by erinp:
will do .I did take the pledge but I so want Bea gone

8/6/093:27 PM

mrs dMember

i am not an hira fan but i detest bea so i will send her a vote

8/6/093:28 PM

Free ThinkingMember

quote:
Originally posted by ѕρι∂єямσηкєγ:
Lisa's odds are lengthening nicely. The bookies seem to think she is safe now. Hira has just inched ahead of Bea as the new favourite to go tomorrow.

If you want Bea out, or if you want Hira to stay in, you MUST vote to save Hira before it's too late.

Why do people take the bookies as gospel? Unless they have inside information, or there is a betting scam, they don't know any more than we do. And when many HMs are up it's never that easy to say which among several will be going. My opinion is that Hira is more in danger than Bea as Hira has not been shown much. I'm hoping David is in danger.

8/6/093:29 PM

SpiderMonkeyMember

quote:
Originally posted by mrs d:
i am not an hira fan but i detest bea so i will send her a vote

8/6/093:30 PM

Cold SweatMember 10 years

For me - supporting Sophie, the best result imo would either be Lisa or Hira to go. Lisa because she isn't a good influence, and Hira because she could easily gain momentum regarding a high finishing position.

8/6/093:52 PM

SydMember 10 years

O.P. No.

8/6/093:54 PM

watcher1Member

quote:
Originally posted by ѕρι∂єямσηкєγ:
quote:
Originally posted by erinp:
will do .I did take the pledge but I so want Bea gone

Not voted this year yet as was waiting for Bea to come up. I so want her gone that I'll vote for anyone but...

8/6/094:15 PM

DarcyprincessMember

I am aslo a supporter of Sophie so must make sure that I vote for her a few times as I have not voted this year! But I just might put a vote in for Lisa and David to try and get Bea out! I dont think that Hira will go because she has quite a good fan base already!

8/6/094:45 PM

CaptVimesMember 10 years

Lisa is far from safe there is very little difference on the odds for Lisa and Bea.

Ive given up being frustrated at this forums lack of understanding of bookmakers. Mostly Its the people who bet that influence the odds. Most of the time bookmakers would even prefer a favourite didnt go because thats the HM that the most money has been bet on so they have to pay out more.

There are so many chances for tactical voting etc I wouldnt be betting my hard earned money on any of them.

8/6/094:54 PM

Yellow RoseMember

In answer to op's question, no I don't want Bea to go.

I don't really understand betting, so, some people are putting money on HM's, but, what about the GBP who don't bet, how do bookies know who the majority of GBP will vote for

8/6/094:59 PM

SydMember 10 years

This week I do not want Bea or Lisa out....

8/6/094:59 PM

VideostarMember 10 years

I still hope Lisa goes.

8/6/095:00 PM

VideostarMember 10 years

I've seen eviction odds swing violently on the final day...Lisa could still go.

8/6/095:02 PM

VideostarMember 10 years

Hang on, Hira is nowhere near fav to go.

8/6/095:03 PM

CaptVimesMember 10 years

quote:
Originally posted by Yellow Rose:
In answer to op's question, no I don't want Bea to go.

I don't really understand betting, so, some people are putting money on HM's, but, what about the GBP who don't bet, how do bookies know who the majority of GBP will vote for

They dont care, they only care if they make a profit or not so they tailor the odds so that they make a profit no matter what happens. Well thats the aim.

I will give a very simple example say its between two HMs and a bad bookmaker.

HM A has odds of 5/1 thats 5 pounds paid out for every 1 bet.

10 people have bet on A at 5/1 , if HM A goes they will have to pay £50 out.

HM B has odds of 100/1 thats 100 paid out for every 1 bet.

1 person has bet £1, they will have to pay £100 if HM B goes.

8/6/095:11 PM

VideostarMember 10 years

The OP is being naughty, Hira hasn't overtaken Bea in the betting at all.

8/6/095:15 PM

SuzyMember

I don't want Bea out.

Lisa needs to go.

8/6/095:19 PM

Yellow RoseMember

quote:
Originally posted by CaptVimes:
quote:
Originally posted by Yellow Rose:
In answer to op's question, no I don't want Bea to go.

I don't really understand betting, so, some people are putting money on HM's, but, what about the GBP who don't bet, how do bookies know who the majority of GBP will vote for
They dont care, they only care if they make a profit or not so they tailor the odds so that they make a profit no matter what happens. Well thats the aim.

I will give a very simple example say its between two HMs and a bad bookmaker.

HM A has odds of 5/1 thats 5 pounds paid out for every 1 bet.

10 people have bet on A at 5/1 , if HM A goes they will have to pay £50 out.

HM B has odds of 100/1 thats 100 paid out for every 1 bet.

1 person has bet £1, they will have to pay £100 if HM B goes.

Thanks CV, I get that

I just hope the bookies are wrong this week

8/6/095:28 PM

Yellow RoseMember

quote:
Originally posted by Videostar:
The OP is being naughty, Hira hasn't overtaken Bea in the betting at all.

So Bea's still favourite to go?

8/6/095:29 PM

VideostarMember 10 years

quote:
Originally posted by Yellow Rose:
quote:
Originally posted by Videostar:
The OP is being naughty, Hira hasn't overtaken Bea in the betting at all.

So Bea's still favourite to go?

Sadly yes, you've been duped by a naughty poster.

8/6/095:30 PM

Eugene's LairMember 10 years

quote:
Originally posted by Videostar:
Hang on, Hira is nowhere near fav to go.

The odds have been fluctuating quite a bit.
I haven't been following them as carefully as some here (

), but from going over the records I believe Bea and Hira's odds came extremely close together towards midnight.

Since then, Hira's odds have drifted and Bea's have shortened...

8/6/095:31 PM

VideostarMember 10 years

quote:
Originally posted by Eugene's Lair:
quote:
Originally posted by Videostar:
Hang on, Hira is nowhere near fav to go.

The odds have been fluctuating quite a bit.
I haven't been following them as carefully as some here ( ), but from going over the records I believe Bea and Hira's odds came extremely close together towards midnight.

Hmmm ok, well I trust your opinion, but I checked about half an hour ago and Hira is a fair bit awy from the favs to go.

8/6/095:32 PM

SpiderMonkeyMember

quote:
Originally posted by Videostar:
The OP is being naughty, Hira hasn't overtaken Bea in the betting at all.

Vid I promise at the time of posting this she was slightly shorter odds than Bea. I see she has recovered a bit now though. Lisa has lengthened also, almost caught up with David.

8/6/095:33 PM

Eugene's LairMember 10 years

quote:
Originally posted by Videostar:
quote:
Originally posted by Eugene's Lair:
quote:
Originally posted by Videostar:
Hang on, Hira is nowhere near fav to go.

The odds have been fluctuating quite a bit.
I haven't been following them as carefully as some here ( ), but from going over the records I believe Bea and Hira's odds came extremely close together towards midnight.

Hmmm ok, well I trust your opinion, but I checked about half an hour ago and Hira is a fair bit awy from the favs to go.

I've just edited my previous post:
Hira's odds have drifted since midnight, while Bea's have continued to shorten.

8/6/095:34 PM

VideostarMember 10 years

quote:
Originally posted by ѕρι∂єямσηкєγ:
quote:
Originally posted by Videostar:
The OP is being naughty, Hira hasn't overtaken Bea in the betting at all.

Vid I promise at the time of posting this she was slightly shorter odds than Bea. I see she has recovered a bit now though. Lisa has lengthened also, almost caught up with David.

Fair enoug, I gues the odds ill swing aggressivly before tonights eviction.

NOTHING is certain.

8/6/095:44 PM

Azure.Member

I want Beatch out but its not a certainty she will be, so another vote for Lisa, David and Hira to ensure the Beatch goes.

8/6/096:15 PM

Former Member

quote:
Originally posted by Azure:
I want Beatch out but its not a certainty she will be, so another vote for Lisa, David and Hira to ensure the Beatch goes.

oh ,yes.

8/7/095:52 AM

kimotaMember 10 years

I dont want Hira to go but don't want Bea out for tactical reasons so I will be dissapointed if either go. I am still hoping its Lisa or failing that, one of her cronies.

8/7/096:12 AM

KayteeMember 10 years

Soz! I've lobbed a few votes Bea's way

8/7/099:16 AM

JoyronMember

quote:
Originally posted by Azure:
I want Beatch out but its not a certainty she will be, so another vote for Lisa, David and Hira to ensure the Beatch goes.

Why don't you save your money. BB will have the last word in who goes. Voting won't make any difference I'm afraid.

8/7/0910:34 AM

subatomic partygirlMember

quote:
Originally posted by Free Thinking:

Why do people take the bookies as gospel? Unless they have inside information, or there is a betting scam, they don't know any more than we do. And when many HMs are up it's never that easy to say which among several will be going. My opinion is that Hira is more in danger than Bea as Hira has not been shown much. I'm hoping David is in danger.

I don't know much about betting but don't bookies lay their odds, (at least partially) on the number of people placing bets on given HMs to be evicted or saved and doesn't this reflect the relative popularity of the HMs(in at least the betting population)? In other words, it's not exactly a bad benchmark of public opinion (but by no means an unequivocally accurate one)?

Of course, I could be totally wrong....

8/7/0910:40 AM

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