All my posts on this subject so far have been without analysing things. Now that I've had time to sit back and consider....
If Aaron and Louise were following the plan the first time, then Tom or Alex shouldn't have picked Louise in the second noms and Alex or Jay shouln't have nommed Faye.
However if Tom. Faye, Alex' and Jay nommed the same people they originally should have then Aaron should have nommed Alex and Tom and Louise, Aaron and Tom. Thus BOTH changed their noms the first time.
Aaron supposedly should have nommed Alex, but switched to Louise would fit with his story of not wanting to put up Alex.
Louise noms Aaron and tries to nom Tom, but BB won't allow it, she only has three others to choose from. As she doesn't want to nom Jay or Alex, she chooses Faye.
So, is the result a case of BB manipulating things to save Jay?
Or was Louise wrong about not being able to nom Tom? Maybe she just needed to give a different reason, not a different person?
And why was she suddenly not wanting to nom Jay or Alex? The original plan was to have them all up. She didn't seem reluctant to have Alex up in her Birthday week then. She didn't seem to be concerned for her beloved B/F then.
And my head's spinning now with thinking of all the permutations, And there's probably a myriad of other possibilities that I haven't even touched on.