Skip to main content

As usual, I'm basing this mainly on the latest Betfair odds to win, but have simplified some of the more complicated fractions.

 

Gina: 3/2

Sam: 5/1

Dan: 11/2

Dexter: 10/1

Sophie: 12/1

Charlie: 15/1

Callum: 16/1

Jack & Joe: 17/1
Hazel: 104/1

 

Looking at the other bookies: most have Gina at around 5/4 favourite; most have Dexter, Sophie and Charlie much closer together (with the girls generally around 10-12/1); and most have the Twins slightly ahead of Callum.

No doubt there will be major changes after someone is chosen to join Sam and Sophie in the SH, as they'll probably then be the favourite for eviction on Friday.

 

Observations:

No changes in the positions of the top 3, but Dan's odds have shortened further and he's 9/2 with one bookie.

Despite supposedly losing a lot of support on Facebook and Fan Forums, Dexter's odds have rallied. He's still not in the top group, but he's virtually the only one shortening on Betfair at the moment, and one bookie has him at 7/1.

Sophie's lost touch with the lead group, but the real losers are the Twins and Callum who are becoming the new outside bets with only "No Chance" Hazel below them...

Replies sorted oldest to newest

Well, Gina does gain a positive DR appearance on every HL show – including the past week or so when she hasn’t necessarily even been central to the current narrative.

 

I reckon BB are keeping something up their evil sleeve regarding Gina – like she isn’t the most spoilt brat in Britain or something – giving closure to the BB14 theme on finale night.

 

#secrets&lies

Cold Sweat
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:

Well, Gina does gain a positive DR appearance on every HL show – including the past week or so when she hasn’t necessarily even been central to the current narrative.

 

I reckon BB are keeping something up their evil sleeve regarding Gina – like she isn’t the most spoilt brat in Britain or something – giving closure to the BB14 theme on finale night.

 

#secrets&lies

 . . . considering who her boyfriend is

Saint
Originally Posted by Aimee:

Are those in the order of favourite to least favourite? 

Yes.

The way to look at betting odds is to think of them as fractions. The smaller the fraction, the more likely that outcome is believed to be.

So: Gina is 3/2, or 1.5 if you want to portray it as a decimal fraction. She has the smallest (shortest) odds, so she's favourite.

Hazel on the other hand is 104/1 or 104, so she's biggest outside bet.

Eugene's Lair
Originally Posted by Eugene's Lair:
Originally Posted by Aimee:

Are those in the order of favourite to least favourite? 

Yes.

The way to look at betting odds is to think of them as fractions. The smaller the fraction, the more likely that outcome is believed to be.

So: Gina is 3/2, or 1.5 if you want to portray it as a decimal fraction. She has the smallest (shortest) odds, so she's favourite.

Hazel on the other hand is 104/1 or 104, so she's biggest outside bet.

I thought 3/2 was 1.5/1 

Moonie
Originally Posted by Kaytee:

I can't believe that Sam is that popular,he's done nothing in the house

I think Sam's being quite clever. When hm's talk to him about other hm's or how they're feeling he listens but rarely comments or give his own opinion, he just soaks it all in. The other night he sat with Gina for ages, every now and then her time in the SH was brought and he'd ask what she'd learnt about certain hm's, She told him a couple of things but I think she realised he was trying to get too much info from her and she said she wasn't going to discuss it. He's stored away quite a lot of info.

Yellow Rose
Originally Posted by Yellow Rose:
Originally Posted by Kaytee:

I can't believe that Sam is that popular,he's done nothing in the house

I think Sam's being quite clever. When hm's talk to him about other hm's or how they're feeling he listens but rarely comments or give his own opinion, he just soaks it all in. The other night he sat with Gina for ages, every now and then her time in the SH was brought and he'd ask what she'd learnt about certain hm's, She told him a couple of things but I think she realised he was trying to get too much info from her and she said she wasn't going to discuss it. He's stored away quite a lot of info.


He's quite vocal about his dislike of Dexter, I've heard him call Dexter a few names, but then, the rest of the house have as well so I suppose that doesn't count . Sam tends to stick with the people who take the time to talk to him.

Bethni
Originally Posted by Aimee:
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:

Depending on how this week goes - with Sam starting it as 2nd favourite and with a central role in this cruel mid-season twist; he could easily end the week bookies favourite to win.

he's done nothing to deserve to win, he's hardly spoke 

And done nothing that's been entertaining 

Yellow Rose
Originally Posted by Aimee:
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:

Depending on how this week goes - with Sam starting it as 2nd favourite and with a central role in this cruel mid-season twist; he could easily end the week bookies favourite to win.

he's done nothing to deserve to win, he's hardly spoke 

Who deserves to win and who actually wins are not necessarily in collusion – and always highly subjective!

 

I wouldn’t mind Sam or Sophie winning; neither has yet offended me, and I believe the prize fund would greatly benefit either ones’ life compared to those that would, for instance, squander it at the Savoy or open a strip club.

Cold Sweat

Add Reply

×
×
×
×
Link copied to your clipboard.
×
×