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I wanted to post the latest odds before the nominations.

These are based on Betfair, but note that I’ve approximated them slightly as some people had problems with some of the weird fractions that Betfair produces: 

 

Sophie:  5/1

Jack & Joe: 6/1

Sam: 13/2

Wolfie: 8/1

Charlie: 19/2

Callum: 11/1

Dan: 23/2

Hazel: 18/1

Jackie: 22/1

Daley: 24/1

Gina: 28/1

Dexter: 41/1

Jemima: 85/1

 

Note that most of the “proper” bookies have Sophie, Wolfy and Sam on virtually the same odds. Also, most bookies have Dan slightly ahead of Charlie with Callum’s odds slightly longer, but again it’s pretty close between those three.

It's interesting though that Betfair (which tends to follow trends quicker) isn't rating Wolfy and Dan as highly as the others...

 

So from the first week: Sophie, the twins and Charlie have all shortened, while Daley (2nd favourite at the start) has slipped back the most…

Replies sorted oldest to newest

So we find out who is up when nominations are announced to the house during the Monday night HL show – followed by a similar process as last week; vote freeze, Live Wednesday night announcement of the nominee with least votes…

 

Cold Sweat
Originally Posted by Baz:
Are those the odds to be evicted please Eugene , or to win ?

Those are odds to win. Sophie's favourite to win with most bookies. (Since I posted the OP, her odds have shortened to 9/2 on Betfair and are 4/1 with quite a few bookies.)

 

Unless anyone knows differently, the bookies don't generally open books on the next eviction until the nominations have been anounced. I'll probably start a new "Eviction Odds" thread once the bookies start taking money on the second eviction.

Eugene's Lair
Originally Posted by Baz:
How did you find that out please Cold Sweat ?

I think it was Emma Willis that said they would be going Live to the house next Monday and Wednesday.

 

Tellymix article says nominations will be revealed on the Monday night show:

http://tellymix.co.uk/reality-...n.html#ixzz2X2XnHuAh

Cold Sweat
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:

So we find out who is up when nominations are announced to the house during the Monday night HL show – followed by a similar process as last week; vote freeze, Live Wednesday night announcement of the nominee with least votes…

 

 

 

I wondered about the going live on Wednesdays - freezing the vote and saving the least votes will only work if there are more than 2 up so ....

 

if they only put 2 up maybe the public poll will put up another person - if there are more than 2 by the housemates then the public vote will be wasted 

 

what else would they be going live every Wednesday for 

MrsH
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:
Originally Posted by Baz:
How did you find that out please Cold Sweat ?

I think it was Emma Willis that said they would be going Live to the house next Monday and Wednesday.

 

Tellymix article says nominations will be revealed on the Monday night show:

http://tellymix.co.uk/reality-...n.html#ixzz2X2XnHuAh

yes it was Emma but I thought she said every Mon and Wed 

MrsH
Originally Posted by MrsH:
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:

So we find out who is up when nominations are announced to the house during the Monday night HL show – followed by a similar process as last week; vote freeze, Live Wednesday night announcement of the nominee with least votes…

 

 

 

I wondered about the going live on Wednesdays - freezing the vote and saving the least votes will only work if there are more than 2 up so ....

 

if they only put 2 up maybe the public poll will put up another person - if there are more than 2 by the housemates then the public vote will be wasted 

 

what else would they be going live every Wednesday for 

Task rusults, surprise eviction, new housemates...

Cold Sweat
Originally Posted by MrsH:
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:
Originally Posted by Baz:
How did you find that out please Cold Sweat ?

I think it was Emma Willis that said they would be going Live to the house next Monday and Wednesday.

 

Tellymix article says nominations will be revealed on the Monday night show:

http://tellymix.co.uk/reality-...n.html#ixzz2X2XnHuAh

yes it was Emma but I thought she said every Mon and Wed 

I think you are correct with this.

Cold Sweat
Originally Posted by erinp:
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:

The bookies favourite rather anonymous on the HL show tonight!

Are her odds too short for this early stage?

who's??

Sophie – not really involved to any extent in the current paranoia narrative.

Cold Sweat
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:
Originally Posted by erinp:
Originally Posted by Cold Sweat:

The bookies favourite rather anonymous on the HL show tonight!

Are her odds too short for this early stage?

who's??

Sophie – not really involved to any extent in the current paranoia narrative.

TBH, I'm rather puzzled by Sophie's popularity, It's not that I've got anything against her, but rather that I haven't seen enough of her to make any sort of judgement either way.

 

I have to admit I'm still a little concerned she'll turn out to be like BB12's Alex: does very little, everyone thinks she's nice, waltzes into the final week and then it turns out she's the biggest game-player there...

Eugene's Lair

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