Originally Posted by erinp:
Every year I struggle with odds.
I know if you drift that's a good sign and if you shorten not so good.
Basically, yes.
Think of the odds as a fraction: if it's divided by 1, then it's a whole number. The smaller the fraction, the more likely that outcome (i.e. the more likely the punters think you'll be evicted). Gina is 4/6 = 2/3, Sallie = 2 and Dexter = 6, so Gina is more likely to go. If that fraction gets smaller (more likely), it's shortening; if it gets bigger (less likely), it's drifting.
If you multiply that fraction by the amount you bet, that's the amount you could win (plus you'd get your stake money back).
So: if you bet ÂĢ10 on each of the HMs, your winnings if they're evicted would be: Gina = ÂĢ6.67; Sallie = ÂĢ20; Dexter = ÂĢ60 (plus your ÂĢ10 back in each case).