Charlie back as second favourite to win , Sophie drops back to third with Siavash in fourth.

Charlie...the camera hugger...second favourite.?

Charlie being second favourite is disastrous news.
I can`t believe it!

I honestly do not know how Charlie is in 2nd place I can understand Siavash dropping to fourth, but he can still put that back if he gets his act together.

Sadly im not surprised about Siavash...he's not playing the game so will annoy alot of his fans.

quote:

Originally posted by darloboy07:
Charlie back as second favourite to win , Sophie drops back to third with Siavash in fourth.

That's what I could see happening That's why I did that thread yesterday about Charlie winning by default

I really expected to see Rodrigo ahead of Charlie.

Siavash is close third behind Sophie now (who has regained 2nd position)

At this stage the to win odds are not worth taking notice of because as ive said before anyone who knows big brother doesnt bet on a winner at this stage.

To back this up you will see the comments on Charlie being second favourite when this thread started. Well now he is fourth favourite.

Interesting that Betfair are showing odds for the next eviction.
They have Lisa favourite to be evicted.
(Which I consider to be a good thing.)

Betfair next eviction

OK I'm not good at understanding betting odds but I just clicked on the link and Charlie was 4th on the list after Freddie, Sophie and Siavash. Personally I wish he was at the bottom of the list

So do I Yellow Rose.

quote:

Originally posted by brisket:
So do I Yellow Rose.

If Charlie's close to being in the running I don't understand what the GPB, or those betting, are seeing in Charlie that I'm missing

quote:

Originally posted by Yellow Rose:

quote:

Originally posted by brisket:
So do I Yellow Rose.

If Charlie's close to being in the running I don't understand what the GPB, or those betting, are seeing in Charlie that I'm missing

Did you see my post? Only people who dont understand the show would bet on a winner at this stage. Or at least take a very risky bet. Dont read too much into it.

quote:

Originally posted by brisket:
Interesting that Betfair are showing odds for the next eviction.
They have Lisa favourite to be evicted.
(Which I consider to be a good thing.)

Betfair next eviction

Thanks Brisket! I've made a note of the linky and will keep an eye on them too

quote:

Originally posted by Yellow Rose:
OK I'm not good at understanding betting odds but I just clicked on the link and Charlie was 4th on the list after Freddie, Sophie and Siavash. Personally I wish he was at the bottom of the list

As others have said, Yellow Rose, its way too early for the Bookies to commit any serious odds on who they think will win at this stage of the game As you know, things change in there from day-to-day LOL, much less week-to-week!

In terms of the odds, this weeks eviction ones so far, I don't really understand the intricacies of it all but it was explained to me in lay terms like this, and I kind of got it:

Lisa has odds of 17/10 which means that for every 17 punters who vote, its predicted that 10 of them will want her to go (a difference of 7)

Bea has odds of 13/5 so for every 13 punters who vote 5 will want her gone (a difference of 8)

David is on 41/10 - for every 41 punters who vote only 10 of them want him out (a difference of 31)

When the margins between who votes and who wants them gone gets smaller (the number in brackets) its said that the odds are shortening, which is good news for those who want them out. And when the number gets larger it means that the odds are drifting, which is good news for those who want them to stay.

I think that's basically it, but don't sue me if I've got it all wrong because I'm seriously rubbish at Maths and it had to be explained to me like that (I think ) otherwise I just wouldn't have grasped it